Tuesday, 21 April 2015

MOBGATE


MOBGATE (That's Match Officials' Board-Gate, To Avoid Any Confusion)

The Biggest Systemic Matchfixing Scandal Ever To Hit English Football

When the relatively minor English Matchfixing Crisis of Nov/Dec 2013 surfaced, Sir Bob Russell MP stated "English football is rotten to the core."

Here is proof that he was correct.

The events outlined below suggest a conspiratorial structure involving the Premier League's Professional Game Match Official Board (pgMOB) refereeing body, one particular referee, an ex-referee, the largest betting exchange in the world, and a leading football agent linked to a national newspaper.

The reality exposed would happen by chance once every 93 billion years.

The universe is 13.8 billion years old.

(We are interested in discussions with mainstream media bodies outside of Britain with regard to this post plus the betting patterns and other inputs that back up our thesis - email us at footballisfixed02@googlemail.com or follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed and we'll follow back allowing Direct Message. British media need not approach)
___________________________________________________________________________________

HISTORY

We have published 8 separate posts on Football Is Fixed blog highlighting the disproportionate number of BT Sports live tv matches given to referee Jon Moss. Also mentioned on numerous Twitter feeds.

John Colquhoun, a football agent, and Moss have been "acquainted" with one another since their time together as players at Sunderland in 1992.
Mr Colquhoun also 'oversees' football output at the Guardian newspaper where an entirely inappropriate symbiotic relationship exists between the paper and himself resulting in excessively positive PR for his clients and the squashing of stories that might impinge upon his empire building - the Guardian is the only mainstream media outlet not to cover the Delroy Facey matchfixing court case where an agent, players, fixers and betting bodies allegedly conspired to perform matchfixing!

Additionally, we have tweeted and blogged on several occasions about close links between Colquhoun and Alistair Campbell, a war crime apologist with close links to Burnley FC.

Keren Barratt refereed the FA Cup Final between Arsenal and Sheffield Wednesday in 1993 - an appointment regarded as incredulous by many in the refereeing community. He is one of only four referees to receive such an appointment without being on the International List.
__________________________________________________________________________________

TIMELINE

Jan 19 Published post "How To Spot Matchfixing" on Omertà blog (1). This post itemised suspicious betting patterns on two matches.

Jan 27 Tweet regarding 7 Key Sports players at Middlesbrough with transfer of Adam Forshaw (2).

Feb 10 Published post "Once Dead The Good And The Bad Are Covered By The Same Moss" on Football Is Fixed blog. Published on the following day on Omertà blog (3). This post showed highly suspicious betting patterns positively correlated with in-match decisions in Premier League matches officiated by Moss. Furthermore, the post also revealed statistically significant tilts in decision-making by Moss in favour of West Bromwich Albion, a team whose unofficial club agent is Colquhoun of Key Sports.

Feb 16 Keren Barratt, the  pgMOB official with sole responsibility for selection of Premier League referees, makes appointments for weekend of Jan 21/22 - Moss is given live BT Sport event between Tottenham and West Ham.

Feb 22 Spurs draw 2-2 with the Hammers with a penalty 6 minutes into injury time which was described by BBC Sport as follows: "The striker [Kane]went down in the box under the slightest pressure from Song" (4).

Feb 23 Barratt appoints officials for Jan 28/29 and the following midweek. Moss is given Burnley v Swansea at the weekend and Aston Villa v West Brom in the midweek.

Feb 28 The suspicious betting pattern structure itemised on Feb 10 post existed on the Burnley v Swansea game but was offset by insider money surfacing elsewhere in the market. We warned our Twitter followers of this manipulated structure via a tweet pre-match (5). The pattern that historically was 100% robust was inversed as the visitors won by that very rare occurrence - a double own goal.

Mar 2 Barratt releases appointments for March 7/8. For the first time in season 2014/15, Moss is given an appointment outside of the Premier League. By fluke, the match that he is given is Nottingham Forest v Middlesbrough in the Championship.

Mar 3 Moss referees Villa v WBA and, for the first time in 18 occasions that he has refereed the Baggies, he gives a penalty/sending off against the Albion. We have been told that some media people at BT Sport were privately trading on this outcome. The delirium in the tv studio post-match appears to confirm this reality - Villa won with an injury time penalty after a bizarre collection of refereeing decisions in the game. We tweeted this reality immediately after the game finished (6).

Mar 5 We published the post "Farcical Absurdity" on Omertà detailing the strange officiating by Moss in the West Midlands derby on Tuesday (7).

Mar 7 We warned followers on Twitter about the insider trading on Nottingham Forest v Boro and published "Mocking The Zeitgeist" on Omertà blog detailing the structures (8) (9).

Mar 9 Moss is given Leicester v Hull in the latest set of Premier League appointments.

Mar 14 Moss erroneously (according to unanimous assessment by Sky Sports' Gillette Soccer Saturday pundits) sends off Tom Huddlestone for an alleged foul on Key Sports' client Jamie Vardy.

Mar 18 Keren Barratt, the pgMOB administrator who has chosen Select Group officials throughout referee chief Mike Riley's reign, is removed from his post without warning and prior to the end of his contract. He is replaced by Howard Webb.

Mar 19 We tweeted a mocking message on Twitter regarding our exposure of the shenanigans that led to this sacking of Barratt and published "The Sting" on Football Is Fixed blog (10) (11).

Mar 24 Published "Making A Long Nose On The Sly" on the Football Is Fixed blog (12). In this post, we detailed further history behind this chain of events by itemising a fixed Premier League match between Fulham and Wigan in 2008 - a game exposed on Football Is Fixed blog at the time (13) - and the resultant threats received that were traced back to the offices of Mr Colquhoun.

Mar 30 I sent a letter to Colquhoun offering my "kind regards" and asking for details of his lawyers. No reply was received.

Apr 1 Published "Whistleblow While You Work" a lulzly mocking of the whole affair on the Football Is Fixed blog (14).

Apr 10 Published a blog post entitled "800 Billion To One" on Football Is Fixed blog detailing the incredibly unlikely probability that the above scenario could have happened entirely by chance - such a reality would occur naturally once every 90 billion years. The universe is 13.8 billion years old! We removed this post to archive to make way for the post that you are now reading.

Apr 12 We publish "Bet (Not So Feckin') Fair After All" questioning why Betfair both allow insider trading and why such inside activity is not exposed to the authorities by the market maker (15).

Apr 15 We contacted Colquhoun again asking for a face to face or telephone meeting (as he obviously didn't want his lawyers involved). No reply.

Apr 19 We publish the first part of "MOBGATE" on Football Is Fixed blog where we reveal the Timeline, the Statistics and the References relating to this affair. The Betting Patterns and Other Inputs are redacted until a later date.

Multiple Dates In the first four rounds of Premier League games under the selection stewardship of Howard Webb, Moss is given the live tv match between Chelsea and Stoke in the first round, is 4th official for both West Brom v Leicester (where Jamie Vardy scores winning goal in a suspicious betting market) and the live tv match between Man Utd and Man City in the second round of matches, and is referee for Crystal Palace v West Brom in the third round of matches, and a BT Sport live match between Southampton and Spurs in fourth round of games (statistics relating to this are excluded from below as we wish to focus on the Colquhoun/ Moss/ Barratt triumvirate).
Having said that, three tv games and two more WBA games is revealing as to the new entity.

And, in an act of considerable chutzpah, Webb has given this year's FA Cup Final between Arsenal and Aston Villa to...
... Mr Jonathan Moss (16).

Once we break this story in European/Australian mainstream media, this act is going to appear like systemic self-harming! 

But it is worth noting that Mr Webb was referee for the fixed match between Fulham and Wigan (13) and a further massively suspicious match involving Fulham - their last day of season victory at Portsmouth that saw Reading relegated from Premier League instead of Fulham.
We have no evidence that Webb had any inappropriate part to play in these two match outcomes.
__________________________________________________________________________________

STATISTICS

Betting Patterns On Premier League Matches Officiated By Jon Moss

To the thresholds outlined above, Moss had refereed 41 EPL games in 2013/14 and 2014/15.
There had been suspicious betting patterns in the same time window at the same bookmaker in 11 of these matches.
All these insider trading patterns were winners and major decisions in game were 11 penalties/sendings off in support of the market activity and one against - the one against was a penalty given to Spurs in a match where Man City were given three penalties plus the sending off of a Spurs player and an offside goal.
The Burnley v Swansea match was the first occasion in 42 matches where this structure was invalid and inversed. 

Decision Making On West Bromwich Albion Games Officiated By Jon Moss

In his career as a professional referee, Moss had officiated WBA on 18 occasions.
In these matches he had given 11 penalties or sendings off in favour of Albion and no sendings off and no converted penalties against - some of these decisions were laughably dubious.
In the two promotion seasons for WBA in the Championship, Moss refereed Albion 5 times.
This resulted in 5 wins with 7 sendings off or penalties in favour of the West Midlands club and, obviously, none against.
The Aston Villa v West Brom game was the first occasion in 19 matches where a penalty or sending off was given against WBA. 

Selection Of Referees For BT Sport Live Matches

There are 21 referees used for Premier League games.
Given equal selection, each official has a 1 in 21 chance of being chosen for BT Sport live matches.
In the aftermath of our reporting, Moss was given two of the next three BT Sport live matches (Spurs v West Ham and Villa v Albion) - he couldn't have been given the third as it was on the following night to the latter game.
There was a 1 in 21 chance of Moss getting either of these games.

Selection Of Moss For Championship Game Between Nottingham Forest And Middlesbrough

Post-threshold of our exposure, Moss was given his first non-EPL appointment of the season in the 36th round of Football League games.
The match was one of 36 Championship and Football League matches occurring in that round of games.
There was a 1 in 36 chance of Moss refereeing outside the Premier League in this round of matches and a 1 in 36 chance of the match chosen featuring Middlesbrough.

Selection Of Moss For Burnley And West Brom Game Following Our Exposé 

Moss was chosen for WBA and Burnley Premier League matches in the two rounds of games after our blog posts.
There was a 1 in 5 chance of Moss getting Burnley or WBA for first round of games and a 1 in 9 chance of him getting WBA in the next round of matches. 

Match Outcomes 

The market likelihood of Burnley, West Brom and Middlesbrough all losing were 26.9%, 28.7% and 30.0%. 

Statistical Likelihood Of These Events Happening By Chance 

The probability of these selections and inversions coming to pass entirely by chance is 885 Billion to One.

These events occurred in a 14 day window covering 4 rounds of games following our exposés.
There are 38 rounds of games each season in the EPL so the chance of this structure happening in any one season is One in 93 Billion i.e. these realities would occur by chance once every 93 Billion Years.

Our universe is 13.8 billion years old.

So if our universe were seven times older than it actually is and if human beings had existed on our planet from the point of the Big Bang until now and if football was the very first thing that these humans invented and if such invention led to the immediate onset of the Premier League, MOBGATE would have happened just once.

The fact that it happened after our exposé is worthy of note! 

NB. These statistics are based on means and don't attempt to market-make the reality at hand.
For instance, Moss historically gets more than one in 21 EPL games although the refereeing chat rooms (such things exist!) think he should receive next to no such appointments. The mean provides a ballpark evaluation to demonstrate the statistical significance of the structure.
It is for isolationist reasons that we don't break down the analytics any further. 
There are also Bayesian techniques to address the statistics but any difference is not in orders of magnitude.
__________________________________________________________________________________

REFERENCES 

1) "How To Spot Matchfixing" blog post http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/how-to-spot-matchfixing_19.html

2) 7 Key Sports players at Middlesbrough tweet - "With the arrival of Adam Forshaw, there are now 7 Key Sports-represented players at #Middlesborough!"

3) "Once Dead The Good And The Bad Are Covered By The Same Moss" blog post http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/02/once-dead-good-and-bad-are-covered-by.html

4) BBC Sports report on Tottenham v West Ham http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/31476002

5) Tweet warning of inversion on Burnley v Swansea - "@JohnboyMaclean The outcome will be a defeat for the integrity of #PremierLeague football. But beware, market structure is not obvious."

6) Tweet on the inverse in Aston Villa v West Brom - "Jon Moss - 18 matches reffing #WBA 11 Pens/S Offs in favour
0 against
http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/02/once-dead-good-and-bad-are-covered-by.html …
Next game, Moss gives inj time pen against #WBA"


7) "Farcical Absurdity" blog post http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/farcical-absurdity.html

8) Tweet warning about Nottingham Forest v Middlesbrough - "If you are considering betting on, attending or otherwise taking an interest in #NFFC v #Boro
READ: …http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/mocking-zeitgeist.html …"


9) "Mocking The Zeitgeist" blog post http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/mocking-zeitgeist.html

10) Tweet mocking the systemic nature of the operation and Barratt's sacking - "We mocked a #matchfixing operation.
They mocked us back.
We saw through their mockery and re-mocked.
A job is lost.
…http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/mocking-zeitgeist.html …"


11) "The Sting" blog post http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/the-sole-individual-who-selects-select.html

12) "Making A Long Nose On The Sly" blog post  http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/a-pre-epilogue-beginning-of-end.html

13)  "Happy Anniversary To Roy Hodgson" blog post http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/05/happy-anniversary-to-roy-hodgson.html

14) "Whistleblow While You Work" blog post  http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/whistleblow-while-you-work.html

15) "Bet (Not So Feckin') Fair After All" blog post  http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/bet-not-so-feckin-fair-after-all.html

16) Mark Halsey @RefereeHalsey http://www.kicca.com/RefereeHalsey/posts/55374d48aed1d94c8aac84e1 
__________________________________________________________________________________ 

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed
 

Sunday, 12 April 2015

Bet (Not So Feckin') Fair After All


Betfair: "This Is Play"...

... No It Isn't, It's A Facilitation Of Corruption.


___________________________________________________________________________________

When the majority of public betting markets on an event are suspended due to concerns about matchfixing, spotfixing, transnational co-ordinated criminalities and/or insider trading, Betfair generally keep their markets open.

Now why would that be?

When Betfair accept trades that are illicit, the company still receives their commission on the winning accounts.
Consequently, matchfixers and spotfixers across the planet understand that their information will almost always be accepted by Betfair with the bookmaker simply taking their slice of the action.

This contorted structure has three major impacts.

Firstly and most importantly, the leisure/mug punters who place positions opposite to the criminalised entities exist merely as fodder for fixers.
Indeed, there are times where Betfair's marketing appears to exist merely to flush out the befuddled and the bewildered...
... "here, have a markedly improved price on something that WE KNOW will not happen."

Secondly, if corrupt consortia know that their crimes will be rewarded by Betfair, this structure encourages actions that undermine the integrity of all sports.

And, thirdly, allowing insider trading enables Betfair to privately trade this knowledge for proprietary profit elsewhere in the marketplace.

Betfair are not the only bookmaker that accepts insider trading by any means - such knowledge is a gold dust currency in betting markets - but Betfair set the threshold of abuse lower than other European layers as they are GUARANTEED A PROFIT by such strategy.
___________________________________________________________________________________

And it should be remembered that the Premier League matchfixing operation that we recently exposed (a conspiracy of an administrator, a referee and an agent) generated their illicit profits via Betfair.

NOT SO FECKIN' FAIR THEN!

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Wednesday, 1 April 2015

Whistleblow While You Work


April Fools' Lulz...

... so long, and thanks for all the fish.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Tuesday, 31 March 2015

If


If referees in the Premier League earn a couple of grand per week while officiating on matches with global betting volumes of £5 billion,
If referees for all Premier League games are selected by just one individual;
If referees work with agents to promote the agents' clients on the field of play,
If referees are at the root of most matchfixing crises:


If bookmakers accept insider trading merely treating it as competitive advantage in the marketplace,
If bookmakers trade such knowledge at dark pool poker tables of corruption;
If bookmakers own football clubs and, on occasions, coerce players to perform appropriately,
If bookmakers create spot markets to corrupt the minutiae of in-play actions:

If agents are largely non-regulated and are the primary lubrication of criminalities in the sport,
If agents work together in a fragmented cartel to pool ownership of players to solicit matchfixing;
If agents are engaging in third party ownership and the trafficking of children from developing countries,
If agents pay backhanders to managers to pick certain players for mutual benefit:

If institutional bodies decide on winners and losers according to private agendas of power and marketing,
If institutional bodies incorporate systemic corruptions at top levels of the game;
If institutional bodies established to monitor insider trading and matchfixing are infrastructurally compromised,
If there are no global, EU or governmental actions to confront these corruptions:

If clubs, owners, managers, referees, agents, administrators and players bet on the outcomes of games,
If clubs exert power over lesser clubs in the same leagues with agreed outcomes being the norm;
If clubs focus more on unearthing lucrative marketing deals than on winning trophies,
If clubs built on debt can only survive by matchfixing their games:

If coercion, threats, menaces, violence and murders are the primary modes of controlling non-acquiescent individuals,
If transnational organised crime and global mafiosi are actively involved at all levels of corruption;
If suitcases of cash and offshore illicit money flows are the norm in financial transactions,
If there are administrators who facilitate these corruptions based on laissez faire capitalism:

If the Fit-and-Proper-Person Test results in clubs being owned by entirely unfit and entirely improper individuals,
If owners take over clubs to asset strip and to monetise the debris via inversion capitalism;
If money laundering, fraud, utilisation of offshore financial centres and beneficial ownership is the norm,
If clubs are held offshore for tax and/or regulatory avoidance to the benefit of the owners:

If spurious and fake arguments are repeatedly made against the use of video technology in the sport,
If there are no laws against insider trading and no Commitment of Traders' reports;
If there is widespread use of performance enhancing substances and their related masking agents,
If the market capitalisation of major clubs is dwarfed by global betting turnover on any of their matches:

If fans and the public are kept in the dark about all these machinations due to a blackout by the mainstream media,
If there is nowhere for whistleblowers to go with information about corruptions;
If the reward for being a criminalised player is a lifelong role as a media analyst or commentator,
If huge fortunes are being made while meritocracy is always trumped by the performativity of corrupt practices:

Then FOOTBALL IS FIXED as is everything within it,
And - what is more - 'tis merely high stakes poker, my son.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Tuesday, 24 March 2015

"Making A Long Nose On The Sly"





Our sociology is labyrinthine.

On October 29th 2008, there was a fixed Premier League match between Fulham and Wigan Athletic at Craven Cottage.
On the following day, we disclosed details of this matchfixing event together with forensics of the corrupt operatives.
We received threats and menaces.
These threats were traced to the Soho offices of a leading British football agent and were sent by one of the thirteen aliases employed by this individual.

Fast forward to 2015.
We published two blog posts (on January 19th and February 10th) detailing the current forms of matchfixing orchestrated in the Premier League by our Soho-based agent and his cohorts.
Our psychological assessments of our opponents are complex.
So we expected tubthumpery...
... but not absurdity!

In response to these 2 posts, the resultant refereeing appointments and the inversion of historical biases were so manipulated that such a collection of episodes would happen by chance only once in every 800 billion instances.
But, by happenstance, they occurred immediately after the second of our articles investigating this insider trading operation.
How on earth did a 800 billion-to-one statistic come to pass at such a time? 

On March 7th, we blogged again about this orchestrated corruption.
From our perspective, the most remarkable feature of this insider idiocy is that we have been given our outcome by a walkover - in an attempt to display the 'omnipotence' of their power, the operation has yielded a data-driven solution that proves their malfeasance via statistical outlier realities without any need for us to venture near the boundaries of libel.

800,000,000,000 to 1.

On 18th March, Keren Barratt (the individual who was solely in charge of pgMOB referee appointments) was removed from his post without warning and without publicised reason.
He was no longer in his happy place.

We published 'The Sting' on March 19th - http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/the-sole-individual-who-selects-select.html

One question is left hanging in the air...

If being part of a conspiratorial structure is sufficient for one individual to be removed from their position in the English game, can we look forward to punitive action being taken against the other two perpetrators of this farcical display of psychopathic disorder?

"Not by wrath does one kill but by laughter. Come, let us kill the spirit of gravity!"

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed 

  

Thursday, 19 March 2015

The Sting


The Sole Individual Who Appoints Referees For Premier League Games Is Removed From His Job...
___________________________________________________________________________________

Yesterday Keren Barratt was removed from his job as sole selector of Premier League referees.

In his years under Mike "Kipper" Riley, he was invisible.
Prior to yesterday Google Search yields JUST ONE mainstream media mention of the man who chooses referees for all English Premier League games. 
This would appear to be excessive secrecy for an individual in charge of appointing referees for nearly £1 trillion worth of betting turnover per annum.

Barratt was removed early and with a suddenness that means that his new role hasn't even been created yet! 
Depending on who you believe, he had 2 or 14 months left on his contract.

No reasons have been given for his removal.

We published the blog post below on March 7th 2015.

http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/mocking-zeitgeist.html

This post followed on from two earlier posts that may be located below.

http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/how-to-spot-matchfixing_19.html

http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/02/once-dead-good-and-bad-are-covered-by.html

The statistical likelihood of the 'inversion in bias' together with the probability of selection for the games is 1 in 804,888,018,800 or, in plain English, one in 800 Billion.
As there are 20 windows akin to the one outlined in the 'Mocking The Zeitgeist' post per season, the inversion/selection structure outlined would occur by chance once every 40 Billion Years.

The universe is 13.8 Billion Years Old :)

And it happened in the fortnight following our two posts.

We would like to confirm, in this place, that this should be regarded as a truly remarkable statistical fluke and nothing more sinister.

Consequently, we wish Keren Barratt well in his new Orwellian post that has yet to be created at the pgMOB.
___________________________________________________________________________________

Barratt's replacement is PC Howard Webb :)
  
Walks off, stage left humming Junior Murvin's 'Police and Thieves"...
___________________________________________________________________________________

Football is Fixed

Football is Fixed Performed A Virtual Reactive Sting Operation Across The Zeitgeist Of Corruption.
The Sting Was Landed.

 5th Estate Data-Driven Investigative Journalism At Its Best, With An Essence Of Lulz... 
... Where Else Do You Get The Barratt/Colquhoun/Moss Sting And Poyet/Bevan Expose In Four Days? 
... and the expose of AC Parma, the deconstruction of IFAB, analyses of illicit money flows and the role of crime syndicates, analyses of 5th Estate realities and security just in the past few months...

Football is Fixed


© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed 


Wednesday, 18 March 2015

The Guardian Of The State Of Play - Referee Fetishism


Sid Lowe: "Matchfixing is the ultimate crime in football. If it is not a competition, it is nothing."

Suppression of truths makes a parody of journalism.

Newspapers have a tenuous relationship with football fans as demonstrared by Liverpool fans boycotting The Sun and Celtic Bhoys and Ghirls confronting the pro-Sevco bias in Scottish media.

When mainstream media (msm) provide news which is merely public relations or attempt to reframe realities to private agendas, we are in a situation where free media becomes distorted to totalitarian templates.

So it is with the refusal by British msm to face up to matchfixing, corrupted players and referees on these isles.

Since a number of former referees have slated the terrible standard of officiating in the Premier League this season, there has been a concerted effort by certain outlets to paint a different picture.

Online today, the Guardian has SIX different articles portraying referees as victims.

We have Chelsea exhibiting a poor respect-to-referee ratio (a robust mathematical construct!), Ibrahimovic swearing at a ref, a Cypriot referee having his car torched, Aurier apologising after a ref rant online, an eventual acknowledgement by the paper that Chris Brunt took on Anthony Taylor in a tunnel and Greg Dyke telling us that player pressure on officials is "pretty scary".
Following on from Barney Ronay's recent forays into "let's stop talking about referees" and "the excellence of our officials", this is more than bizarre 'journalism'.
It is referee fetishism!

This demand for respect would have more credence if the general perception was that the Professional Game Match Officials Board (pgMOB) referees were doing their job even remotely to a professional standard.
They are not.

This attempted whitewash spreads over to television with numerous pundits twisting themselves into Houdini-like contortions to explain the latest travesty of justice on the field of play.

And these millionaires and their acquiescent lackeys are unaware of the bubble in which they exist.

Talk to fans at Celtic, Arsenal, Manchester City and United, Liverpool, Everton and Chelsea etc etc...
... or talk to chief executives, market makers and owners, and a different reality emerges - one of an utter lack of confidence in officials and a suspicion that poor refereeing is linked to betting market activities.

Last night I went to see some proper football - the Evo-Stik Northern Premier League between Buxton (nicknamed The Bucks) and Ramsbottom (nicknamed Tup's Arse). It was the most exciting game that I have seen this season. End-to-end football, no controversy, no bookings, hardly any fouls due to the quality officiating by a refereeing team from South Yorkshire.

The ref was a different standard of quality compared to Jon Moss and others at the pgMOB completely undermining the legitimacy of pgMOB only utilising 15 core officials.

But, rich bastards beware...
... without marked improvement in the officiating in the Premier League, the financial bubble will burst sooner rather than later.

NB: And later in the day, in a truly Orwellian twist, Keren Barratt - the man in sole charge of selection of Premier League referees - is removed from his post two months early for reasons that our lawyers have advised us not to discuss.
Keren Barratt - the man whose name had only ever appeared once in the msm - is replaced by PC Howard Webb.
ScudamoreWorld - a mockery of reality!

http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/mocking-zeitgeist.html 

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed 

Sunday, 1 March 2015

The IFAB Four


"In effect, the English Premier League and the Scottish Premier League, via their respective control of the Football Association and the Scottish FA, are able to block all and any changes to the Laws of the Game with the support of just one other IFAB member." 

Yesterday, nicely buried away on a busy sporting Saturday, the International Football Association Board (IFAB) ruled out video technology in football until season 2018/19 at the earliest.
This is despite a very successful trial run by the Dutch FA (KNVB) at 24 Eredivisie matches last season and the support of Germany, the USA and certain elements at the FA in England.

The outcome simply means that we are guaranteed 3 and a half more years of rampant corruption without redress or regulation and we will argue that this decision is the death knell for the integrity (and success) of the game.
___________________________________________________________________________________

IFAB

IFAB is an anachronism. Composed of 4 members from the FA's of England, Scotland, the North of Ireland and Wales plus a further four individuals selected from the other 205 associations, the body behaves like an old City of London club. To discuss and decide upon proposed alterations to the Laws of the Game requires 75% agreement which, in effect, means that the United Kingdom controls the rules of global football.
Furthermore, since 2003, Angel Maria Villar Llona, the Spanish FIFA vice-President and Chairman of the Referees' Committee, has been involved in IFAB meetings. It is surely of relevance to the whole discussion that Javier Tebas, the Spanish La Liga president, believes that some bodies wish to hide the reality of matchfixing. Speaking last October, Tebas said: "... there are also some important institutions that want to hide the problem. Our integrity department in La Liga, for example, last weekend detected match-fixing activity in the third division. We detected the problem and communicated it to the responsible authority, but they chose to hide it, probably because they don't want to recognise that this problem exists, even in the lower division."

It is surely worthy of note that certain representatives (or a majority thereof) can block any change at any time to any private agenda.

Dutch Experiment and Institutional Response

The Dutch trial involved a video referee addressing match decisions at 24 top flight games in 2013/14. The results were hugely encouraging resulting in gross chameleon Sepp Blatter changing his mind to be in favour of video technology on the eve of the 2014 World Cup Finals.
A colleague in Holland has stated that the referral system could be implemented within 15 seconds and would have removed all controversy from the matches trialled. The match outcome was real.
Other sports also successfully implement video technology without the fabric of the competitive event being blown apart - tennis, rugby league, rugby union, horseracing, athletics, cricket etc.
So why not football?
Which members of IFAB voted against the proposal?
Who stands to lose and gain from the delay?

Well, this last question is a suitable starting point.
The entities that gain from lack of video technology are, in no particular order of merit - UEFA, FIFA, the Premier League, corrupt referees, corrupt bookmakers, insider gamblers, underground criminalised betting markets, global mafiosi groups, corrupt football agents, dodgy committee men...
... while the losers are the fans, the integrity of the game, those within the sport outside the corrupt inner loops and, interestingly, the broadcasters who overpay for tv rights (see below).

UEFA president, Michel Platini, performed a U-turn on video technology due to the European body utilising grey corruption via match officials to offset the criminalities of matchfixing operations targeting UEFA events, the power base of the allegedly disbanded G14 group, the successful marketing of tournament spectacles and the critical nature of television money.
The latter two points also apply to FIFA although the inaction at the global body is more closely linked to the interests of those involved in matchfixing.

The Specifics of the Integrity Issue in English Premier League

The Premier League (EPL) and Professional Game Match Officials Board (PGMOB) do not want video technology in English football. Furthermore, they do not support the elements of the FA that are calling for the implementation.The EPL have been undermining the role of the national association since inception and reached a nadir when buffoon Sir Dave Richards performed as Scudamore's rottweiler destabiliser at the FA.

PGMOB referees earn around two grand a week for officiating on matches that can have global betting turnover of £5bn. The core group of PGMOB comprises just 15 individuals who officiate at nearly 95% of EPL matches (including all the high betting volume tv events) and are frequently present as 4th officials at other games. This structure is primed for corruption.
Additionally, one individual who hides in the shadows selects referees for all EPL games. One man!

Former leading refs Graham Poll and Keith Hackett have lacerated the current standard of PGMOB refs with the latter wanting Mike Riley removed from leadership of body and 5 officials stood down.
Hackett stated: "If [a manager] is at the bottom of the league then his job is at risk. At this moment in time he [Riley] is more than bottom. I am seeing a regression. The performances of the referees are not acceptable. He must carry the responsibility."

And the reaction to criticism of referees is Stalinist. Most managers (with honourable exceptions of Jose Mourinho and Steve Bruce) have learnt that it is preferable not to articulate concerns over refereeing integrity as the body politic merely dumps more negative controversy on managers who step out of the Stalin line.
Chelsea would have won the EPL last season if it had not been for the ludicrous spectacles at Villa Park and at home to Sunderland. The abuses have continued on into 2014/15 with even the most anti-Mourinho clone perceiving the injustices perpetrated against the London team.

The Stalinism continues with media silence, no interviews, hush money paid at end of referee's careers, no public ratings from internal assessments and generally no punishment for miscreants.
Additionally, since the beginning of season 2013/14, all match officials have been miked up to a secretive network which we will term the EPL Match Centre. All kick offs are coincident and referees are aided (or abetted) by other officials with access to tv replays. This results in numerous match decisions being delayed while a decision is made.

Three points.
Firstly, this is illegal under the Laws of the Game.
Secondly, to what template are the decisions being made if made under such secrecy?
Thirdly, the outcome is disastrous for the brand. The EPL is descending into fraudulent farce.

In a desperate attempt to keep fans on message, the mainstream media entirely ignores matchfixing in England despite journalists getting some of their leaks/stories from individuals who are orchestrating the matchfixing.
The tv pundits are worse!
Lee Dixon, Mark Lawrensen and Robbie Savage work for bookmakers, Danny Murphy is close to a matchfixing agent, Michael Owen used to be bookie for the England team (linked to Goldchip private bookmakers), Steve McManaman was a business associate of money laundering fraudster Carson Yeung and David James is, well, David James.

Impact of IFAB Decision on EPL Broadcasting Deals

The EPL tv deal for 2016/19 realised £5.1bn for British rights but as lawyer Daniel Geey points out the global broadcasting rights could be worth another £8bn.

These figures represent a financial market bubble - Sky is paying £11m per match in this window.
The price is being ratcheted up via the antisocial auction strategies of Sky Sports and BT Sports as they outbid one another to mutual oblivion. The inevitable increase in subscription prices will undermine the business model - in a 4 week window in January, BT Sport offered just one EPL game (Hull v Newcastle). This is absolutely not value for money particularly in a time of austerity.

Bubbles are dangerous when they form in an instant - so Manchester United received less (£60.8m) for winning EPL in 2012/13 than Cardiff City got for being relegated the following season (£62.1m).
Bubbles are even more dangerous when future rights' issues are being bid on the back of an already inflated bubble - a double bubble means double trouble.

As the performance of EPL teams in Champions League and Europa League shows, the bloated brand is bigger than the fundamental value by some marked distance.

Furthermore, the matchfixing in the EPL is the elephant in the room. When we speak to managers, chief execs, agents, administrators, the discussion always centres around matchfixing. The reality is bound to break at some point and then the value of the brand plummets as the IPL cricket monstrosity discovered.
And this is before one even considers the impact of the eventual European Super League for the G14+.

Conclusion

Who voted against video technology at IFAB meeting?
Why?

An interesting impact of the Dutch experiment last season was that the volatility of outcome would have diminished markedly if the video ref had been able to overrule the match referee. Think about that. The price set by the global marketplace on a game is more accurate once integrity is reintroduced via taking power away from the referee. We are preparing a research paper on this point as it is significant.

Meanwhile Jérôme Valcke, FIFA's secretary general, blurts "Is there a risk the referee will not be as strong as he is today?"

You know what, mate, nobody cares about a referee's sense of personal power.
What we demand is integrity in the sport we love.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Wednesday, 18 February 2015

Pitchsiding


There are two core inputs to the trading process - market price and market timing.
Knowledge of the former represents the 'value' on offer - the difference in price between the market and reality - while knowledge of the latter fine tunes the process for maximisation of profits.

But the latter also offers a route to proprietary profits based not on skill but on one's position in the marketplace,

In 1929, financial market traders were dependent on the ticker-tape.
In a pre-IT world, all trades were manually recorded by armies of under-privileged people.
There was no other option.

Once the operators at the top of the Ponzi scheme decided that the fake price summit had been reached, they sold across the board and extensively.
When this Crash occurred, the ticker-tape operators were unable to keep up with the tsunami of "sell" orders.
Consequently, the ticker-tape started to fall behind time.

But the ticker-tape meant that the reality was lost on the general trading population until it was too late.
Traders (and normal human beings too) were selling stock without being able to gauge the price at which they were selling their assets, as the prices were out-of-date and everybody understood that there was a run on.

This was a very early example of pitchsiding in the financial sector - insiders gaining (or losing less) at the expense of the bewildered and the befuddled who were outside the loop.

Move forward to 2015 and the same market advantage is built into modern day financial market architecture via the utilisation of High Frequency Trading (HFT) algorithms, Dark Pool operations and selective arbitrage trading.

Inevitably, these distortions of time entered the world of sport once markets were attached to events - it is termed 'pitchsiding' or 'courtsiding'.

The first occasion that I witnessed pitchsiding was at British racecourses in the 1990's.
Operatives would park up a vehicle outside the racecourse with line-of-sight link to the bookmakers trading on the rails and utilise bullet microphones to listen into these primary tier bookies. Once insider money surfaced, the operatives took advantage of the information (and the available price) to trade the inside information at a timing advantage to the remainder of the market.

These behaviours also have their origins in the Depression when illegal street bookies would offer prices on races that had already been run!

Pitchsiding spread to other sports once global markets were developed on sporting events.
There is an inevitable time delay on images being flashed around the world.
Other communication routes are instant.

So in football, there can be a 10 second delay between the action taking place on the pitch and the HDTV images hitting your screen. A lot can happen in ten seconds!

Pitchsiding is particularly profitable and far easier to facilitate when the geographical distances are greater with the result that the ICC Cricket World Cup 2015 was always a prime target for the pitchsiders.
Hence, some good news for once.
As this report from New Zealand shows, there is a momentum within the ICC to eradicate sports corruption and the pitchsiders present at the opening World Cup match between New Zealand and Sri Lanka were removed from the ground (http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/cricket/66201423/betting-cheats-caught-at-cricket-world-cup-match).

In reality, pitchsiding might be seen as a form of virtual time travel...
... but imagine going back in time to place £25m in the Asian underground on a draw between PSG and Chelsea last evening (http://wheresthatfuckinhemlock.blogspot.co.uk/2013/03/is-time-travel-logically-possible.html).

Pitchsiding is a criminal offence in parts of Australia and carries a maximum penalty of 10 years in prison.

Unfortunately, in the world of football, pitchsiding is merely seen as another competitive advantage for the bookmakers like insider trading and access to Dark Pools.
And, of course, no action is taken.
Market distortions to the benefit of a financial elite are never a problem. 

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed 

Saturday, 14 February 2015

Mafia, Matchfixing, Money Laundering - The Beautiful Game

We were recently in discussions with a soon-to-be-launched body that will focus on illicit money flows and money laundering in relation to the football industry.
Such tax avoidance and evasion covers the betting markets, the transfer markets as well as non-fit and non-proper club ownership structures.

Our part in this project related to the betting markets.

So, as a piece of research, we decided to list all of the global betting territories and to link these locations with both club ownership loci and offshore financial centres (particularly looking at preferred routes of corruption).

With the mainstream media suddenly deciding to conclude that the vast majority of global banks are involved in tax avoidance via illicit money flows in a systemic failure of late capitalism, the time is ripe for addressing parallel tax issues in football.

From the shenanigans at the late Glasgow Rangers (who went into administration three years ago today - Happy Administration Day!) to the Leicester City manager, Nigel Pearson, poking Leicester City 'legend' Gary Lineker regarding his tax affairs to the 'mistake' by the HMRC which led to improperly prepared paperwork allowing Harry Redknapp off tax evasion charges, the zeitgeist of public perception of football corruption is changing.

The interesting aspect of the research undertaken is the robust linkage between club ownership locations, offshore financial centres, offshore bookmaking locations and a transglobal map of primary mafiosi locations.
The interplay between these four power loci is fascinating and very revealing.

Take AC Parma.
Having fallen from historical heights due to the Parmalat Scandal, the club were serially mismanaged under stewardship of Tommaso Ghirardi and director general Pietro Leonardi resulting in the takeover in 2014 by an Albanian businessmen - Rezart Taçi (CEO of Taçi Oil) fronting for a Cypriot-Russian group.

Under Ghirardi's watch, the Italian club had been thrown out of this year's UEFA Cup after having been found guilty of paying players at other clubs to perform appropriately.

There has been an array of very vivid matchfixing events at the club throughout this season culminating in the farcical fix between Parma and Chievo on Wednesday last.
And the money traded on these events surfaces in some rather interesting locations far from Italy - Gibraltar, Thailand, Russia, Philippines and Malta.

In December 2014, the club were docked a point for non-payment of wages and with the club about to be punished again for further non-payment, Taçi was discarded and the club brought in Ermir Kodra as president on January 23rd 2015 - Kodra worked at BKT Bank of Tirana and was director of marketing at the ARMO, the largest oil refinery in Albania.

He lasted just 17 days being replaced last Monday by Giampietro Manenti who has vowed to pay the wages and clean up the operation.
The fact that the Parma/Chievo fix occurred two days into Manenti's regime does not bode well.

Albanian mafia have been actively distorting outcomes in the Austrian Bundesliga over the last 12 months while Cyprus is a prime location for Russian money laundering and related matchfixing (particularly involving Cypriot clubs and those from the former Soviet diaspora). The threats of violence and actual violence with regard to referees has become endemic with the most recent issue seeing a bomb left outside home of the mother of referee Thomas Mouskoss.

This season saw a whole array of questionable matchfixing events in the Qualifying Phases of both the Champions League and the UEFA Cup related to this Russia-Cyprus axis.

AEL Limassol v Zenit St Petersburg, Budocnost Podgorica v Omonia Nicosia, Metalurg Skopje v Omonia Nicosia, Dinamo Moscow v Omonia Nicosia and Apollon Nicosia v Lokomotiv Moscow.

Of course, a question that needs to be asked is how so many Russian diaspora v Cypriot matches could 'randomly' be pulled out of the UEFA hat when the draws were made!

With the Cypriot-Russian group having sold their control earlier this month, it is only to be hoped that the new regime straightens things out.
The worrying aspect is that the investment group that are the new owners are anonymous.
___________________________________________________________________________________

Below (and for our cellular network only), we draw our assessments of the illicit money flows relating to AC Parma, their ownership, the global betting markets and their related offshore financial centres.

##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################
##############################################################################

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Thursday, 12 February 2015

The Impact Of Extreme Financial Distortions On The Integrity Of British Football


Britain's Annual GDP = £1.77 trillion.

Estimated Annual Global Betting Turnover on Football = £1 trillion.

New Premier League TV deal covering three seasons = £5.1 billion.

Average Global Betting Turnover on a Big 4 Premier League game = £5.0 billion.

Manchester United Market Capitalisation = £2.8 billion.

Premier League Annual Agents' Fees = £115 million.

Maximum Trade allowed in Asian Underground Markets  = £25 million.

Wayne Rooney's Annual Earnings = £12 million.

Richard Scudamore's Annual Earnings = £2 million.

Premier League Referee Annual Earnings = £100,000.

Annual Minimum Wage Employees at Premier League Clubs = £12,000. 
____________________________________________________________________________________

In late capitalism, financial distortions within a sector define the corruptions available...
... and, unfortunately, everybody has a price.

For example, the fact that the new Premier League tv deal (covering 1140 games) is worth the equivalent of the total global trading volume on just one major Premier League game is indicative of absolute betting market control of the sector. 

Or, the fact that 54 nation states have an annual GDP less than the new Premier League tv deal - Richard Scudamore runs a small country.

Or, the fact that the very lightly regulated global betting market has turnover equivalent to 56% of Britain's GDP is suggestive of the pressing need for far more onerous regulation.

Or, the fact that most bookmaking entities are linked to Offshore Financial Centres guaranteeing tax evasion and money laundering.

Or, the fact that referees on £2,000 per week are determining match outcomes on £5 billion markets resulting in an absolute certainty of matchfixing.

Or, if the market capitalisation of a club is exceeded by the betting turnover on just one of their matches then are we dealing with a football club or an inversion capital market medium?
___________________________________________________________________________________

When such financial structures exist, the outcomes are warped beyond recognition and bear no resemblance to the reality underpinning the corrupted marketplaces - we are dealing with a hyperreality.

Take horseracing.
My thesis in the mid-nineties was entitled "The Impact of Conspicuous Money on Outcome in British Horserace Betting Markets".
Here we had 'sporting' events with prize money of £3,000 and betting turnover of £10 million - the distorted incentives produced extensive corruption and the fixing of races to the benefit of ALL insiders (bookies, owners, trainers, jockeys etc).

The corruption was orchestrated from the very top of the industry sector.

While at the Centre for the Study of Gambling and Commercial Gaming, I had discussions with Rodney Brack, the chief executive of the British Horseracing Levy Board (BHLB), where we openly discussed the mechanics of fixing a horserace - from non-trying jockeys to selected watering of courses etc etc etc.
Brack had no problem with these corruptions.

But horseracing is an internalised corrupted market of limited turnover whereas matchfixing in football is a truly transnational global affair.
This leads to an exponential increase in the levels of corruption.

The population at large has a real problem with corruption. There is a propensity to either assume that corruption exists but is acted upon by only a few bad apples or that everything is corrupt and that the only way to determine reality is by conspiracy theories.
Both are wrong.
Corruption in sport is extensive but not absolute.

And, the information and knowledge is out there if one cares to look.

Richard Murphy (Tax Justice Network) and Ian Fraser both knew about HSBC and tax avoidance/evasion in 2010 or earlier but there was minimal media interest and no action.
Or Phil Mac Giolla Bhain exposed the financial shenanigans at Glasgow Rangers years before the mainstream media eventually decided to pick up on the extensive corruptions and tax avoidance/evasion at the club.
.
Entertainingly for the zeitgeist, income inequalities not only produce fraud, money laundering and tax evasion but also a far greater incentive for whistleblowers to confront and expose the criminalities at play.
Joseph Stiglitz claims that, in extremis, these wealth distortions create revolutionary paradigms partially due to the disconnect between the hyperrealities of the 1% and the' real' realities of the 99%.

And so it is in football.

We are largely unemployable in British football due to our 8 year whistleblowing campaign against corruption, matchfixing and fraud in the sport - no entity wants transparency.
But aside from the likes of ourselves, there are other individuals who are within the millionaire's paradise who feel thoroughly disenfranchised from the rewards on offer.
And there are others who, aware of the distortions in the sector, have a price where they will sell out on the corruption for personal gain.

The fulsome exposure of matchfixing, corruption, tax evasion, money laundering and fraud in British football is merely a matter of time.
And then everyone will say "why wasn't this exposed by mainstream media, regulators, institutions and government before now?"

Just as we are all now asking that same question about HSBC, HMRC, PwC, Barclays, RBS, the Murdochracy, Lehman Brothers, Enron etc etc etc ad nauseum.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Tuesday, 10 February 2015

Once Dead The Good And The Bad Are Covered By The Same Moss


In a previous post (http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/how-to-spot-matchfixing_19.html), we looked at what betting patterns might look like on suspicious matchfixing events.
We also demonstrated that the first statistical link to be sought out in the detection of corrupt events is the one between market activities and on-field behaviours.

In this post we are going to be taking a look at the suspicious patterns on Premier League games refereed by Jonathan Moss together with his potential club bias in favour of West Bromwich Albion which stretches back nearly a decade.


____________________________________________________________________________________

The Premier League match between Manchester City and Tottenham this season was only the second match in the EPL era that has had 4 penalties and a sending off in the game - 3 of the penalties and the sending off were in favour of the Mancunians.
Additionally, Frank Lampard was offside for the opening City goal and the first City penalty was fallacious too.

Just another bad day at the office for Mr Moss then?

In the Betfair chart below, the major lower graph represents Total Volume/Time on Man City from KO-85m to KO-25m while the major upper chart shows Price changes over the same window (the upper micro charts display Price and Volume v Time over the entire day with the shading representing the highlighted areas of the market).

In the period from KO-60m to KO-40m, 10 bets between £10K and £50K resulted in over £350,000 being traded on Man City at Betfair (over 27% of the total book at the time).



This chart might be compared with £840,000 volume between KO-53m and KO-33m on the Manchester United v Crystal Palace game mentioned in the above post which represented 30% of the volume traded at Betfair at that time.
This match was also officiated by Mr Moss.

Moss has officiated at 41 Premier League matches in the last two seasons.

We would like to focus on 11 of these events which have experienced particularly suspect betting patterns that positively correlate with match biases/decisions during the game (the table below displays match, percentage dynamics in window, the window in minutes measured from the kick off, key match decisions and the outcome).

Man Utd v C Palace  +2.1% KO-50-30m +1xPen/+1xSOff 2-0W
Norwich v West Ham  +2.1% KO-45-30m +1xPen 3-1W
Stoke v Chelsea  +2.5% KO-45-40m 3-2W
Spurs v Liverpool  -2.1% KO-55-45m +1xSOff 0-5W
Hull v Arsenal  -1.7% KO-50-35m 0-3W
Arsenal v C Palace  +2.0% KO-50-40m +1xSOff 2-1W
Hull v Stoke  -1.4% KO-60-40m +1xSOff 1-1W
Everton v Chelsea  -3.0% KO-55-45m 3-6W
Swansea v Southampton  -1.5% KO-55-35m +1xSOff 0-1W
Man City v Spurs  +1.7% KO-60-45m +3xPen/+1xSOff/-1xPen 4-1W
West Ham v West Brom  -1.5% KO-60-50m 1-1W

All 11 market positions were replicated in the match outcomes.

All 11 matches showed marked volume dynamics in restricted 10-20 minute windows between KO-60mins and KO-30mins.

In the 11 matches, 11 penalties/sendings off were in favour of the market positions with just one Spurs penalty against.

There are five further events over the last two seasons that are borderline suspicious.
____________________________________________________________________________________

So, what other evidence can we find?

Mr Moss has a relationship with leading agent and professional gambler John Colquhoun which stretches back over two decades to their time together as players at Sunderland.
After relegation from the Premier League in 2005/06, Colquhoun took on the role of club agent at West Brom.

Prior to the re-establishment of themselves as a Premier League team, WBA had Jon Moss as referee on 7 occasions from 2005/06 onwards. 

West Brom won all 7 matches with 7 penalties or sendings off in their favour and none against - this stretches to 11 in favour and none against if the EPL era included. Moss is still to give a penalty or sending off against the Albion in 18 events in total since 2005/06.

IN 29 MATCHES OUTLINED ABOVE, MR JONATHAN MOSS HAS GIVEN 22 PENALTIES/SENDINGS OFF IN FAVOUR OF OUR ARGUMENT AND JUST ONE TOTTENHAM PENALTY AGAINST...
... THE FACT THAT THIS ONE PENALTY WAS OFFSET BY THREE PENALTIES, A SENDING OFF AND AN OFFSIDE GOAL IS MORE THAN ENTERTAINING. 
____________________________________________________________________________________

Some Questions That Need To Be Asked If The Premier League Still Has Any Interest In Integrity

Why aren't Betfair disclosing suspicious patterns to the relevant bodies? 

Why are Betfair simply treating such information as insider knowledge to be profited from elsewhere?

Why are the PGMOL repeatedly giving West Brom matches to a referee who has shown such a marked bias towards the club over the last decade?

Why are PGMOL giving Mr Moss so many high betting turnover tv matches?

Why is a professional gambler who is known to take an interest in EPL games allowed to trade his information without going underground?
____________________________________________________________________________________

IN THE FINAL POST IN THIS MINI-SERIES, WE WILL BE DISCLOSING HOW TO DEFINITIVELY LINK THE SUSPICIOUS BETTING PATTERNS TO THE CLIENTS WHO ATTEMPT TO DISGUISE SUCH BETS VIA THE USE OF PROXIES ETC.  

Postscript




© Football is Fixed 2006-2015

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Tuesday, 30 December 2014

The Art Of Whistleblowing


Slavoj Žižek: "A market economy thrives on inequality so self-interest will always triumph over the public good."
Hence, for the integrity of the system, whistleblowers are essential.

This is the first of three posts addressing whistleblowing both in football and across a broader systemic base.

In football, matchfixing is rife - in Europe, 60% of associations have experienced scandals in the last two years and yet there is effectively no sports governance and there are no reliable bodies analysing such corruptions as all have inappropriate relationships to the various loci of criminalities. 
Moreover, there is a culture of omertà within the loop where matchfixing is accepted and serves as an illicit currency within the game.

In parallel, the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) together with the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) give corporations the power to trump national sovereignty and individual rights.
Such abuses may only be addressed by bottom up whistleblowing and hacktivism.
Otherwise the outcome will be a totalitarianism founded on corrupted institutions and a world order devised by and for a global corporate elite.
Globalised markets need globalised regulation.

Whistleblowers should not exist.
Their work should be undertaken by regulators, police, governments and investigative journalists within the Fourth Estate.
But the recent exponential and global growth of whistleblowers across all economic sectors suggests that these entities are a part of the problem rather than the cure.

As there can be no dependence on the law, whistleblowers need to develop skills so that they are able to be more effective in bringing about change by taking the issues to a wider audience.
And this needs to be achieved whilst surfing the zeitgeist of corruption (together with the insider and public perceptions of such corruption) so that personal security profiles may be maintained robustly.
And there is very limited support within the system for whistleblowers - indeed there are very lucrative merry-go-rounds involving institutions, market makers, regulators and even some whistleblowing bodies/charities (eg Public Concern at Work or the FA's Sports Betting Integrity Unit or Federbet).

Corruption forensics and sousveillance are at the core of all whistleblowing and whistleblowers oscillate between black, grey and white markets in their detection work. The reality to be modelled is neo-Bayesian, complex and in a constant state of chaotic flux with the resultant holographic entity needing to be updated in real-time. There are strategic choices that need to be made in order to achieve the best outcomes - in some cases direct action and Fifth Estate activism and, in other cases, realpolitik and incrementalism via the Fourth Estate. 
It all depends on the maturity and solidity of the corrupt mechanism being addressed.

Security is paramount as is the ability to operate invisibly off the radar of the system - I spent over a decade with no bank accounts, no mortgages, disguised rentals, mobile offices across three countries, no utility provision, no telecommunications contracts, numerous PAYG mobiles, no earnings, no tax, numerous parallel internet networks (some encrypted and undertaking creative hacktivism), complex travel arrangements etc.

Protection is paramount all along the continuum from sources to whistleblowers to campaigners, journalists and publishers as any weakness results in a lowest common denominator quantum leap in risk.

We operate via a global cellular network of individuals and well-connected action groups with shared aims and layered security based on the strategies of single issue direct action groups like the Animal Liberation Front.
Face to face security is embedded by selective choice of meetings (we have pulled out of meetings with bodies on numerous occasions through our assessment of their hidden agendas and liaisons) and all meetings are recorded and undertaken with attendant security on hand. Negotiations and the sharing of knowledge are filtered via isolationist boundaries and an assessment of the vertically integrated hierarchies involved. And all meetings are approached with an array of potential strategies both to achieve our goals and to destabilise inappropriate behaviours from other parties at the table.

Creative whistleblowing requires enhanced anonymity with enhanced strategy and protection.

Corruption in football directly mirrors that in the global financial system and much modelling of these infrastructures share similarities. 
But there is a time lag. 
So, whereas insider trading was made illegal in financial markets in Britain half a century ago, it is at the very root of the issue of integrity in football.
Furthermore, the same techniques exist for the hiding of fraudulent behaviour (both with regard to matchfixing and abuses of the transfer market). 
Money is laundered via very particular Offshore Financial Centres (OFCs) using a small network of morally illegitimate onshore/offshore legal entities (in Britain, Panama and elsewhere).

The money sloshing around this shadow system does not yield any tax benefits to the remainder of the planet but merely serves as a sociopathic power grab.
And the figures are colossal.
According to the Tax Justice Network $21 trillion to $32 trillion of private financial wealth is held offshore. $1 trillion is syphoned off from developing countries per annum while the detection rate for tax evasion is just 1% (about the same as the declared instances of matchfixing at 0.7%).
As over 60% of international trade takes place within multinationals, the options for abusive inversion capitalism are considerable as there are no obstacles to the financialisation of the companies nor the creative tax evasion undertaken across different tax environments.
Meanwhile, over 50% of the world's adults lack bank accounts.

The global turnover on football betting markets is estimated at £1 trillion per year.
This cashflow is outside any system - third party ownership and suitcases of money with regard to transfer market corruptions and the stealing of monies off other market players and operators with regard to matchfixing.
This is inversion capitalism in extremis, football has merely become a poker table for psychopathic corruptions involving vast amounts of money.

The solutions are not rocket science.
In football, just six core areas need to be addressed to markedly reduce matchfixing (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/how-to-solve-match-fixing-once-and-for.html)

The key changes will be incremental in any future reality but the changes will still have impact - the adjustment of corruption from being a rigged certainty to a probabilistic outcome will peripheralise the gains that might be achieved via matchfixing.

In the wider global economy, we need openness on corporate ownership and all secrecy jurisdictions, unitary taxation, no tax havens, no unpublished accounts or limited tax disclosures, no use of consolidated financial statements to disguise offshore transactions, no nominees, the banning of offshore trusts, an end to banking secrecy and proper reasons for miscreants to think twice.

When a whistleblower (Jeremy Hammond) faces a 10 year jail sentence for disclosing the inappropriate behaviours of US geopolitical intelligence giant Stratfor while Stratfor is immune to prosecution, what message does this send out to future whistleblowers?
And surely it does not help that the husband of the judge in this case (Loretta Preska) works with Stratfor clients!

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014 
  
Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed

Sunday, 14 December 2014

Who Regulates The Regulators?


The Ponzi pyramid of self-justification that underpins all free market structures is always a part of the problem rather than a part of the cure.

Who guards the guardians?
Who governs the governors?
Who moderates the moderators?
Who regulates the regulators?

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is not fit for purpose.
Nine out of 12 board members were simply parachuted across from the board of the disbanded Financial Services Authority (FSA) - that's the FSA that failed to suitably regulate the banks prior to and during the 2007/08 crash.
The FSA's regulatory style was so light touch as to be reiki.
Reiki regulation!

The FSA was a prime example of regulatory capture - a form of political corruption that occurs when a regulatory agency, created to act in the public interest, instead advances the commercial or special concerns of interest groups that dominate the industry or sector it is charged with regulating.

In response, the FCA must be seen to be regulating with the utmost integrity.
Some hope.
Bizarrely, the FCA created a false market in major insurers' shares after botching a press briefing - the share prices of major insurers plunged after the Telegraph published the story.
A 225 page report released this week goes further: "The strategy and manner in which [the media strategy] was pursued was... high risk, poorly supervised and inadequately controlled. When it went wrong, the FCA's reaction was seriously inadequate and fell short of the standards expected of those it regulates."
The regulator tilted the markets!

And the FCA response is to repay some executive bonuses received in an extended window of self-justification and to immediately rush out a long delayed report into the mis-selling of annuities in a blatant display of exactly the sort of public relations and branding that regulatory bodies should not be in business of needing to undertake.

But similar structures are the norm - other recent examples include OFWAT mistakenly overestimating water companies' capital costs when setting price levels and then refusing to impose London Stock Exchange disclosure requirements on non-stock market listed companies, or PricewaterhouseCoopers selling tax avoidance on an industrial scale with the strategy only coming to public knowledge via internal leaks.

Why is it nearly always whistleblowers and (Wiki)leakers but very rarely regulatory bodies and institutional self-policing that reveal the financial miscreants?.

The big picture is one of pure Randian psychopathy - there's minimal red tape to act as an obstacle for the steady flow of sociopathic outsiders to join the psychopathic insiders as cowboy capitalism races to the bottom of its barrel...
... but in the world of football, the situation is worse - neo-Randian!.

Nothing is regulated on any primary level of operation and there are supportive and corrupted flow networks integrated globally to prevent any hope of integrity rearing its head.

All six of the primary bodies allegedly looking into football integrity and matchfixing are compromised in their purpose via their ownership.
Indeed, in certain cases, a more motley crew of interested parties could not have been created even if one had set out explicitly with such purpose!
Fragmented cartels of corruption!

Football governance verges on the non-existent and, even at best, is merely a branding and self-justification process.

Certain entities and structures are systemically corrupt...
... in fact, I'll rewrite that sentence - there are very few bodies and networks in global football that are not systemically corrupt!
Regulation is invisible or malleable self-regulation that equates to no regulation at all - agents, dark pools, betting markets, insider trading, matchfixing, money laundering, third party ownership, mainstream media compliance in a restricted narrative while, once again, whistleblowers and (Wiki)leakers expose, bottom-up, what any decent system would implement top-down.

Inversion capitalism - asset stripping and financial profiteering from the monetising of a brand, tax avoidance and evasion, antisocial competition practices with minimal regulation (for self-justification), alongside state punishment for 5th Estate types who get in the way - the Obama administration has started more prosecutions against whistleblowers than all presidents combined over the last century.
20 whistleblowers have been murdered in India in the last five years.

And the corrupt operations in the distorted infrastructures attract disproportionate investment as investors understand that increased returns are gained by psychopathic control in a lightly regulated marketplace, compounding up the cycles of corruption over time.

FIFA, the FCA, UEFA, PwC, the Premier League, Barclays, the Glazers, the FA Sports Betting Integrity Unit, Gestifute, Goldman Sachs, all these oil companies from interesting geopolitical locations that are buying up British football teams, private equity, dark pools, the control of whistleblowing bodies by those who should be whistleblown, derivatives markets, offshore financial centres and markets, NGO-lite structures etc - pure neo-Bayesian corruption entities beyond the reach of any economic theory as such theory may only be reactive to this juggernaut of inversion free-marketry where there are no rules.

Who regulates the regulators?

And why don't regulators regulate?

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014   

Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed  

Monday, 22 September 2014

State Of The (Football) Nation


Matchfixing corrupts.
Absolute matchfixing corrupts absolutely.

From the mid-nineties onwards, the Asian underground markets exercised total control over English football.
In the last four years, that control has been grasped by a cartel of inappropriates from the UK and its offshore territories.
Neither of these structures is to the benefit of football.
Both create corruption.

  • There are referees working with bookmakers and agents to manufacture match outcomes to the financial benefit of their insider trading.
  • There are titles and trophies determined entirely by corruption.
  • There are managers taking backhanders from agents to pick their clients to mutual benefit.
  • There are bookmakers who own football clubs and who utilise this control to fix matches.
  • There are individuals within the PGMOL who liaise with criminals and matchfixers in the selection of referees.
  • There are individuals passing the fit and proper persons test that are entirely unfit and entirely improper.
  • There are crime syndicates and mafia groups who takeover football clubs for fraud, money laundering and matchfixing.
  • There are fragmented cartels of football agents who pool their players on the pitch to land huge insider gambles.
  • There are broadsheet, tabloid and tv journalists who lubricate these corruptions via public relations abuses posing as journalism.
  • There are bookmakers who accept insider trading and matchfixing as such knowledge is regarded as preferential information in the corrupted marketplace.
  • There are numerous individuals throughout the game who utilise threats, menaces and coercion as standard business practice.
  • There are betting patterns that link these corruptions with their perpetrators.
  • There are administrators who facilitate these corruptions in support of their belief in laissez faire capitalism,
  • There are many bookmakers who refuse to pay out winnings.
  • There are rewards for historical matchfixing and corruptions with a career in media providing disinformation to fans.
  • There are rampant abuses of third party ownership by agents which frequently borders on a slave trade.
  • There are widespread abuses of performance enhancing substances (and their related masking agents).
  • There are a whole array of under the table payments where tax is avoided (either by bungs or the selling of inside information etc).
  • There are networks of individuals illegally hacking IT systems in search of valuable information.
  • There are numerous examples of referees (and other peripherals) whose wealth is not explained by their legitimate earnings.
  • There are a cabal of mainstream television media who accommodate matchfixing and corruption.
  • There are more criminalised goalkeepers in English football than any other primary territory in Europe. 
  • There are no regulations or governmental action preventing these corruptions.
  • There are fortunes being made at the expense of the integrity of the game.

English football is systemically corrupt...
... and extensively corrupt in the particular.

We have access via our consultancies to the betting patterns on these events.
And for many dubious penalties/sendings off, for example, there are equivalent betting sources and patterns ensuring profits for the criminals.

Think on this the next time you witness refereeing, goalkeeping, media or bookmaker inputs that appear at odds with the integrity of the game.

Oh, and here is a photo of John Colquhoun.



For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed or check out our new blog Omertà on the criminalities underpinning the Premier League and the Scottish Premier League - http://trichotomoustriptychities.blogspot.co.uk/

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014 


Follow us on Twitter @FootballisFixed